These countries including India-Pakistan are heavy for 3 days, the threat of ‘Biparjoy’ is gaining momentum

Cyclone Biporjoy. The threat of cyclone BIPARJOY is increasing day by day in the coastal areas of the country. The Southwest Monsoon arrived in India on Thursday after a delay of a week from its normal schedule. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced the arrival of Monsoon in Kerala.

According to the scientists of the Meteorological Department, Cyclone Biparjoy will turn into a severe cyclonic storm by the next 48 hours i.e. Saturday (June 10). Also, during the next three days, it will move towards North India. It is known that the first pre-monsoon storm of the year in the Arabian Sea will be named ‘Biparjoy’, which has been suggested by Bangladesh.

According to the IMD, the cyclone is moving away from the coastal areas of Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra and Gujarat, but the coastal areas are likely to experience some strong winds and heavy rains in some parts. Apart from this, the landfall of this cyclone is likely to happen in Pakistan.

Cyclonic storm will be very severe in 3 days
The IMD on Thursday tweeted that the cyclonic storm BIPARJOY lay centered over east-central Arabian Sea at 08:30 IST on June 8, near latitude 14.0N and longitude 66.0E, about 850 km west-southwest of Goa. , 900 km south-west of Mumbai, 930 km south-southwest of Porbandar and 1220 km south of Karachi. Also, it will intensify further during the next three days. According to the Meteorological Department, it can turn into a very severe cyclonic storm in the next 3 days. The IMD has already predicted very high sea waves from June 8 to 10. The system is very likely to maintain the strength of a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm till June 12.

Alert in these states
The Meteorological Department has alerted the administration in the coastal cities. Its maximum impact can be seen in the coastal cities of Gujarat. Along with this, the possibility of high waves in the sea has also been expressed. There is a possibility of cyclone effect in the coastal areas of Lakshadweep, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra. The IMD has issued wind warnings for the next five days in these areas.

The meteorologists had earlier said that cyclone ‘Biparjoy’ is affecting the monsoon and its onset over Kerala would be “moderate”. “The Southwest Monsoon has reached Kerala today, June 8,” the IMD said in a statement on Thursday.

“Monsoon has advanced over remaining parts of south Arabian Sea and parts of central Arabian Sea and entire Lakshadweep area, most parts of Kerala, most parts of south Tamil Nadu, remaining parts of Comorin area, Gulf of Mannar and southwest,” the statement said. , moving towards parts of central and northeast Bay of Bengal.

The Southwest Monsoon generally reaches Kerala by June 1 and usually about seven days before or after June 1. In mid-May, the IMD had said that the monsoon could reach Kerala around June 4. Private weather forecasting center ‘Skymet’ had predicted the arrival of monsoon in Kerala on June 7 and said that the monsoon may advance by three days from June 7.

According to IMD data, the monsoon onset date over Kerala has varied over the past 150 years, with the earliest onset being May 11 in 1918 and the latest onset June 18 in 1972. The southwest monsoon reached Kerala on May 29 last year, June 3 in 2021, June 1 in 2020, June 8 in 2019 and May 29 in 2018. Research shows that delayed onset of monsoon over Kerala does not necessarily mean delayed onset of monsoon over northwest India. However, delayed onset of monsoon over Kerala is generally associated with delayed onset over southern states and Mumbai.

Scientists say that even the delay in the arrival of monsoon over Kerala does not affect the total rainfall in the country during this season. The IMD had earlier said that despite the development of ‘El Nino’ ​​conditions, India is expected to receive normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season. Normal or deficient rains are expected over Northwest India. East and Northeast, Central and South Peninsula are expected to receive 94 to 106 per cent of normal rainfall during this period.

Rainfall below 90 per cent of the average during the monsoon period is considered ‘deficit rainfall’, between 90 per cent and 95 per cent ‘below normal’, between 105 per cent and 110 per cent ‘deficient’. ‘Excess rainfall’ and rainfall exceeding 100 per cent is considered ‘excessive rainfall’. Normal rainfall is important for the agricultural scenario of India. 52 percent of the total agricultural area is dependent on rain. It is also important for the generation of electricity across the country and also for refilling the important reservoirs for drinking water. Rainfed agriculture accounts for about 40 percent of the country’s total food grain production, making it a significant contributor to India’s food security and economic stability.

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